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BTC Price To Rally Next Week Or Crash, Amid Relatively Low OI?

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BTC Price To Rally Next Week Or Crash, Amid Relatively Low OI?
  • Bitcoin’s open interest is at its lowest level since it was priced at $59K.
  • While the most likely movement for BTC price is upward, the upcoming U.S. elections cast doubt on the certainty of this trend.
  • New Bitcoin investors are seeing improved profitability as the MVRV ratio bounces back from its lows in August.

Bitcoin, a $1.35 Trillion asset often called the godfather of crypto, continues to dominate discussions in the space. In October, it garnered even more interest from enthusiasts, investors, and traders, following September’s BTC price upward trend.

So far, from September to now, its combined returns have exceeded 30%. Numerous theories are being shared daily about Bitcoin’s price reaching new heights.

The growing confidence stems from its long-awaited breakthrough above $66,150, a crucial hurdle since August.

BTC price

Keep reading for more essential insights from this article.

Why OI in Bitcoin Showcases Hesitation?

Bitcoin’s open interest has dropped to its lowest point since it was near $59,000, indicating uncertainty among retail traders. This decline shows that many are choosing to remain inactive.

BTC price
BTC 1.H. | Source: TradingView

Historically, major price shifts tend to happen during low interest periods, as cautious investors wait for clear signals.

Despite recent upward trends, as Bitcoin price approaches a crucial week marked by the end of earnings season and upcoming U.S. elections. This makes some believe its next direction is uncertain.

Since early September, BTC price has been on an upward trajectory, with October showing a significant pattern.

This steady movement has led analysts to speculate whether BTC price can maintain its upward momentum.

Bitcoin Price Still Pointing Upwards?

Some analysts believe Bitcoin’s natural path is still upward, with potential uptrends likely to emerge after the elections.

BTC price has remained above its key resistance level, creating a pattern that may bolster its upward momentum if it continues.

Currently, Bitcoin’s breakout above its trendline has been stable, with no daily closes below it.

BTC price
1.W. BTC chart drawing of Seth_fin | Source: X

BTC is expected to avoid dropping into the 50ks or even 40ks, maintaining a consolidation pattern a positive indicator.

However, despite these signs of strength, uncertainties persist. Historically, U.S. elections have influenced Bitcoin’s performance, often leading to short-term pressure.

With the current low open interest, traders are bracing for volatility as they position themselves for a potential Bitcoin rally. As the elections approach, BTC’s trend seems to align with a market gearing up for increased activity.

Some analysts suggest this unique situation might allow BTC price to experience a slight correction before gaining momentum for a stronger move.

However, they advise caution regarding short positions, as BTC’s long-term trend remains strong.

In the next two weeks, analysts expect to see increased volatility in BTC, especially due to the pre-election atmosphere.

Traders should be wary of fake-outs and sharp price movements that could affect short-term betting strategies. As always, DYOR and avoid FOMO.

A Rebound Witnessed From August Lows in MVRV Ratio

New Bitcoin investors are experiencing increased profitability, as the MVRV ratio has recovered from its lows in August.

This ratio, which compares short-term market value to realized value, indicates a strengthening market trend.

With the short-term holder MVRV exceeding its 90-day moving average, Bitcoin’s market structure is showing signs of improvement.

STH MVRV ANalysis | Source: glassnode

Analysts view this as a potential incentive for investors to hold onto BTC instead of selling, since profitability remains positive.

How High Could BTC Price go?

If BTC price stays above $60,000, many analysts anticipate it could spark a parabolic rise toward $100,000, which may also lift ETH closer to $5,000.

As BTC maintains its current levels, the positive momentum could persist. However, short-term fluctuations are expected as the market reacts to the election results.

Source: Hyblock Capital

While the trend remains robust, the upcoming weeks may bring unexpected volatility that traders will need to manage carefully.

Regardless of whether next move leads to a Bitcoin rally or a decline, the cryptocurrency market appears poised for significant changes.

Disclaimer

In this article, the views, and opinions stated by the author, or any people named are for informational purposes only, and they don’t establish the investment, financial, or any other advice. Trading or investing in cryptocurrency assets comes with a risk of financial loss.

K
Written by
Markets Writer

Krystian Bielanski is a markets and cryptocurrency writer contributing to The Market Periodical, covering Bitcoin, altcoins and broader market analysis.

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About this article

PublishedOctober 28, 2024 3:54 pm
Last updatedJanuary 18, 2025 7:32 pm
Written byKrystian Bielanski, Markets Writer
ReviewedFact-checked by the TMP editorial desk

This report follows our Editorial Policy, Fact-Checking Standards and Code of Ethics. Found an inaccuracy? See Corrections.

Disclaimer. Informational only, not financial advice. Crypto, forex and stocks are volatile, high-risk assets — always do your own research and consult a qualified adviser.

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